Académicos vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académicos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
AGU
1 - 0
LOB
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
SAG
1 - 3
AGU
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2007 |
AGU
0 - 1
UAT
33%
28%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
JAG
0 - 0
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
AGU
1 - 2
MEX
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LEO
0 - 0
PUM
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LOB
2 - 2
LEO
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
LEO
3 - 1
SAG
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
UAT
0 - 1
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LEO
3 - 2
JAG
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |