Académicos vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académicos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CSL
3 - 1
AGU
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
TIG
2 - 1
AGU
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
AGU
2 - 1
TIJ
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
GUE
0 - 2
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
AGU
1 - 2
TEC
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
LEO
2 - 1
TIG
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TIJ
2 - 2
LEO
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
LEO
1 - 0
GUE
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
TEC
6 - 1
LEO
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
LEO
3 - 1
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |