Académicos Atlas vs Real Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académicos Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
REB
2 - 1
ACA
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 2
COR
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 2
ACA
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ACA
2 - 1
SAH
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
1 - 1
ACA
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SAH
1 - 3
ZAM
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 2
ZAM
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ZAM
0 - 2
CHI
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
ZAM
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |