Académicos Atlas vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académicos Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
ACA
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 2
URU
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TEC
3 - 2
ACA
17%
22%
61%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 1
ZAM
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAH
2 - 1
ACA
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MIN
3 - 1
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
REB
0 - 2
MIN
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
2 - 1
CAL
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
URU
5 - 1
MIN
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
3 - 1
TEC
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |