Académicos Atlas vs Guadalupe Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académicos Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 0
ACA
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 0
DSJ
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ACA
3 - 1
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAH
0 - 0
ACA
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
ASL
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guadalupe Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
COR
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
REB
2 - 1
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 4
MIN
25%
24%
52%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |