Academico Viseu vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academico Viseu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACV
1 - 1
ALB
80%
15%
6%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
ACV
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACV
1 - 3
OLI
80%
15%
6%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 3
ACV
14%
23%
62%
|
63 | 14 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ACV
2 - 1
AVA
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEN
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 0
ALB
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
PEN
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 3
OLI
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ADN
0 - 0
PEN
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |