Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
ACA
3 - 0
COV
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
ACA
2 - 1
LEX
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MAF
2 - 3
ACA
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 1
FAM
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
ACA
36%
28%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
COV
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 1
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 4
PEN
36%
29%
36%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |