Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
MAR
4 - 1
ACA
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
ACA
2 - 1
SAL
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
SLB
1 - 1
ACA
79%
16%
6%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
ACA
2 - 0
BOA
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
VAR
1 - 0
VST
42%
29%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
CAM
1 - 1
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEC
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
EST
0 - 0
VAR
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1997 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
12%
22%
66%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |