Académica vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 2
VIT
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 0
OLI
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
VST
1 - 1
ACA
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 2
AVE
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
UDL
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 4
SLB
14%
21%
66%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
UDL
40%
29%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |