Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
ACA
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 3
MAR
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 0
ACA
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 2
RIO
44%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
OLH
0 - 0
ACA
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
SCP
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GFC
2 - 3
SCP
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
SCP
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |