Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
OLH
0 - 2
ACA
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LEX
2 - 5
ACA
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 1
BMA
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 0
FCP
18%
23%
59%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 1
PEN
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SCP
29%
25%
47%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SCP
1 - 0
NAC
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 0
ZUR
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
54%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |