Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2008 |
ACA
3 - 3
SPB
32%
29%
38%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
NAV
0 - 1
ACA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 0
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 3
SLB
16%
24%
60%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
BOA
2 - 0
SCP
22%
26%
53%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SCP
2 - 1
PAÇ
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 2
SCP
20%
26%
55%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
SCP
3 - 0
DYN
57%
22%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |