Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
RIO
3 - 0
ACA
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
CAM
1 - 2
ACA
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
ACA
1 - 1
LEC
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1998 |
SCP
2 - 1
VST
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1998 |
CAM
3 - 5
SCP
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
SCP
2 - 0
LEC
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
EST
2 - 1
SCP
24%
27%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
46%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |