Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
ACA
4 - 0
UFT
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
VST
5 - 1
ACA
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
80%
14%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 0
ACA
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
LEX
2 - 5
SCP
25%
29%
46%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
SCP
3 - 0
BOA
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
FAB
1 - 3
SCP
32%
28%
39%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 2
SCP
31%
29%
40%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |