Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
58.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1946 |
VST
2 - 3
ACA
70%
16%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
SLE
4 - 3
ACA
73%
14%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
ACA
2 - 0
VIT
66%
17%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
OLH
4 - 2
ACA
78%
12%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
ACA
6 - 1
OLI
84%
9%
7%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1946 |
SCP
5 - 1
SLE
90%
6%
3%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
OLH
0 - 4
SCP
33%
20%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
SLB
7 - 2
SCP
62%
17%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
SCP
2 - 1
ATL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |