Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
72%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1941 |
FCP
6 - 2
ACA
93%
5%
2%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
UNI
56%
19%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
BOA
5 - 0
ACA
58%
19%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 1
BOA
61%
18%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
APO
8 - 2
ACA
43%
23%
35%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1941 |
UNI
3 - 7
SCP
28%
21%
52%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
SCP
5 - 1
FCP
68%
15%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
79%
12%
10%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
BEL
4 - 1
SCP
40%
21%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
SCP
9 - 0
FAR
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |