Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
61.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
39%
22%
39%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
18%
19%
63%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
BEL
2 - 3
ACA
79%
13%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
SCP
4 - 0
LEX
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 2
SCP
22%
19%
59%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
VST
2 - 3
SCP
42%
21%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
SCP
1 - 4
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |