Académica vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
4º
26
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
USA
0 - 3
ACA
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 2
OLI
59%
24%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 4
ACA
33%
26%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ACA
5 - 1
LUS
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
BEL
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 3
USA
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
SCP
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 0
SPC
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
SCP
0 - 0
LUS
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |