Académica vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
1º
30
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 0
OLI
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AMO
0 - 2
ACA
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ACA
2 - 0
ALV
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 1
ACA
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
ACA
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
ATL
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 1
SCP
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 2
SPC
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AMO
3 - 2
SCP
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PER
3 - 3
SCP
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |