Académica vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VSC
0 - 3
ACA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 1
GFC
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
ACA
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
UNM
3 - 0
ACA
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ACA
2 - 0
BRA
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SCP
0 - 1
GFC
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 2
SCP
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
SCP
2 - 1
COV
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
SCP
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 2
ACV
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |