Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
COV
2 - 0
ACA
31%
29%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACA
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ACA
0 - 0
MAF
55%
25%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FAM
2 - 0
ACA
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ACA
4 - 1
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 1
LEX
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 2
SPC
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 1
POR
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 1
SPC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 2
EST
28%
29%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |