Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
REA
3 - 4
ACA
26%
29%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 1
FAM
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
ACA
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 0
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 0
UNM
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
COV
1 - 0
SPC
30%
29%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 0
REA
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPC
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ACV
0 - 0
SPC
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |