Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
9.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
HAP
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
ACA
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
15%
23%
61%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
VKP
3 - 1
ACA
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SPC
0 - 0
SCF
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
SPC
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 1
ARO
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
SPC
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 0
CIN
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |