Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
OLH
2 - 2
ACA
56%
22%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ACA
8 - 1
SAL
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ACA
5 - 2
LEX
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
SCP
4 - 0
ACA
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ACA
7 - 1
BMA
48%
23%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
BEL
4 - 2
SPC
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
SPC
2 - 0
OLH
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SPC
4 - 2
SAL
63%
20%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
SPC
0 - 2
SCP
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |