Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
HAP
2 - 0
ACA
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ACA
3 - 0
TOU
80%
14%
5%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
GFC
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
VKP
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 0
PEN
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
SPB
1 - 2
GAL
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
FCP
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
0 - 2
FCP
45%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
CLU
3 - 1
SPB
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
PAM
1 - 3
SPB
2%
13%
85%
|
88 | 34 | 54 | 0 |