Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACA
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
ACA
1 - 0
FAB
81%
13%
7%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
TIR
0 - 4
ACA
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1967 |
VST
3 - 2
ACA
56%
21%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1967 |
SPB
1 - 4
ACA
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPB
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
SPB
4 - 3
FCB
81%
13%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1967 |
SPB
1 - 4
ACA
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 1967 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPB
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |