Académica vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
BMA
3 - 3
ACA
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 1
CEL
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SCP
0 - 1
ACA
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 2
ACA
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
OLH
2 - 1
EST
52%
26%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
OLH
1 - 1
REA
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
BET
4 - 0
OLH
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BMA
1 - 2
OLH
42%
27%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
OLH
0 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |