Académica vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 3
ACA
11%
20%
69%
|
64 | 29 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 0
ACA
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 1
ACA
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 1
FEI
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
COV
0 - 0
ACA
29%
29%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
EDL
1 - 3
PEN
5%
11%
83%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 1
MAF
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |