Académica vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 0
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
UDL
1 - 2
ACA
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 0
RIO
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
ACA
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 0
MOR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
BMA
1 - 3
PEN
52%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 1
BOA
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SCP
0 - 2
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 2
FCP
17%
26%
57%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |