Académica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
SAL
0 - 1
ACA
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
12%
23%
65%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
BOA
6 - 0
ACA
75%
16%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
ACA
2 - 1
VIT
27%
29%
44%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
ACA
1 - 2
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 0
VST
63%
21%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
CAM
2 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
MAR
2 - 0
LEC
67%
20%
12%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
FCP
2 - 1
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |