Académica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 1
ACA
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCP
39%
23%
39%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SCP
0 - 1
ACA
90%
6%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ACA
4 - 1
SPB
50%
22%
28%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
6 - 2
ACA
74%
15%
11%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
LGC
0 - 3
FAB
66%
19%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 2
LGC
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
LGC
2 - 1
BOA
58%
20%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
FCP
9 - 0
LGC
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
LGC
0 - 2
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |