Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
58%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 1
LEX
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2007 |
BOA
0 - 0
ACA
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 0
PAÇ
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 1
UDL
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
BJK
0 - 1
FCP
35%
27%
37%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
FCP
2 - 0
BOA
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
FAT
4 - 2
FCP
4%
15%
81%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
FCP
1 - 1
LIV
36%
29%
36%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |