Académica vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
23%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
FAR
0 - 0
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
ACA
2 - 2
SPB
36%
30%
34%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
ACA
0 - 0
RIO
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
CHA
1 - 3
VST
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
CAM
2 - 1
CHA
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
CHA
0 - 1
LEC
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
EST
4 - 1
CHA
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1997 |
CHA
2 - 2
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |