Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 1
ACA
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
4 - 0
UFT
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 1
FAB
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 0
SCP
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAB
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 0
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 0
SLB
70%
16%
13%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SLB
0 - 0
SCP
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 2
SLB
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |