Academia vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
TFC
0 - 2
ACA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ACA
3 - 2
COR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 1
ACA
53%
26%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 0
BOG
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
ACA
3 - 1
CEN
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
CEN
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 1
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 0
AGU
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
REA
0 - 0
UNI
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
RSC
1 - 1
UNI
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |