Academia vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 1
EQU
36%
26%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
RSC
3 - 1
ACA
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
ACA
3 - 0
COR
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
AFC
0 - 1
ACA
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
ACA
3 - 1
SFC
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 2
RSC
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
EQU
1 - 0
UNI
62%
21%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 2
RSC
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 1
CEN
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |