Academia vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
BOG
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACA
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
RIO
31%
25%
43%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
ACA
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BOG
3 - 2
ACA
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 4
RSC
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
RSC
2 - 2
AFC
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
RSC
2 - 0
JUN
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
COR
2 - 1
RSC
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
RSC
3 - 0
TFC
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |