Academia vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
ACA
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 0
ACA
17%
21%
62%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 1
REA
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
BOG
1 - 2
ACA
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RSC
3 - 1
COR
40%
30%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 0
RSC
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
PAS
0 - 1
RSC
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
RSC
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
PAS
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |