Academia vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
PAT
1 - 3
ACA
46%
25%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
RIO
0 - 1
ACA
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ACA
2 - 2
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
ACA
3 - 2
PAT
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
RSC
0 - 0
ACA
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
RSC
1 - 1
RIO
35%
25%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
PAT
1 - 2
RSC
57%
22%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
RSC
1 - 0
PAT
35%
26%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 0
RSC
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
RSC
0 - 0
ACA
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |