Academia vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
ACA
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 0
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
BOG
1 - 0
ACA
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 1
RIO
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
AGU
3 - 3
ACA
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
SFC
1 - 2
RSC
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 1
RSC
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
RSC
4 - 1
TFC
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
RSC
1 - 2
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
AFC
2 - 0
RSC
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |