Academia vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 1
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 1
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 3
SFE
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
BOG
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
ACA
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
AFC
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
REA
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
BUC
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |