Academia vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
BOG
1 - 2
ACA
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 0
ACA
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 1
TFC
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 1
CEN
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
AGU
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
BUC
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
REA
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
REA
43%
25%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |