Academia vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
PAT
1 - 2
ACA
38%
26%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 1
UNI
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
TFC
0 - 2
ACA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ACA
3 - 2
COR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 1
ACA
53%
26%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CAR
4 - 0
AFC
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 0
AGU
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
REA
2 - 1
CAR
28%
30%
42%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 1
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
TFC
2 - 1
CAR
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |