Academia vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 0
COR
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
EQU
2 - 0
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 0
ACA
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
BUC
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
ACA
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
TFC
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
EQU
0 - 1
MIL
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
HUI
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |