Venezuelan Cup Second Round Final
Global 0-5
Puerto Cabello vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
FAL
4 - 0
APC
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
YAR
1 - 1
APC
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
APC
3 - 4
FAL
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
UCV
2 - 0
APC
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
APC
2 - 1
YAR
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
FAL
4 - 0
APC
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 0
GVA
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
APC
3 - 4
FAL
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 1
MIR
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 0
UCV
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |