Puerto Cabello vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
APC
3 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
APC
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
YAR
2 - 2
APC
32%
23%
45%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
APC
2 - 0
UCV
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
APC
1 - 1
YAR
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 1
ZUL
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FAL
1 - 1
YAR
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 1
GVA
55%
23%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 1
FAL
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MIN
2 - 1
FAL
33%
25%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |