Puerto Cabello vs Rayo Zuliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
9º
7º
7
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 0
APC
66%
19%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 0
APC
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
APC
0 - 2
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
APC
2 - 1
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 0
APC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Zuliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 1
DRZ
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 1
DRZ
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
DRZ
0 - 1
CFC
27%
30%
43%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DRZ
3 - 1
POR
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DRZ
1 - 0
APC
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |