Puerto Cabello vs Rayo Zuliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
2º
2º
36
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
0% | 65.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
APC
0 - 2
POR
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 0
APC
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 2
APC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
APC
0 - 0
TAC
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
APC
3 - 1
LAR
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Zuliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
DRZ
0 - 1
AAF
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DRZ
0 - 1
ALC
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HFF
3 - 2
DRZ
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DRZ
0 - 1
HFF
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 0
DRZ
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |