Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
APC
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
APC
2 - 2
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
APC
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
APC
0 - 2
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
2 - 1
APC
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 0
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 1
LAR
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 2
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
TRU
1 - 0
LAR
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
ESC
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |