Puerto Cabello vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
APC
2 - 2
CAR
48%
28%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UCV
2 - 3
APC
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
APC
29%
24%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
APC
1 - 1
CFC
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
APC
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
DEF
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 1
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 1
DEF
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |